Showing posts with label Speculation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Speculation. Show all posts

Monday, March 4, 2013

China's "Ghost Cities" Go Mainstream, But Will Anyone Actually Notice?

From Business Insider comes news that 60 Minutes has done an in-depth profile of China's ghost cities - only a couple years after many of us started noticing this creepy and telling phenomenon, but, hey, better late than never.  BI has plenty of good screenshots worth perusing, but here's the whole video for your viewing pleasure:


After seeing this crazy video (or any of the others that have been floating around since 2009), how can anyone steadfastly declare the inevitability of China's future economic dominance or take headlines like the following seriously?
(Hint: they can't.)

Monday, December 27, 2010

Private Investment vs. Government "Investment"

COMPARE: President Obama boasting in May 2010 about his administration's investment of 465 million taxpayer dollars in American electric car manufacturer Tesla Motors:
Thanks to loans through the Department of Energy, which helped provide Tesla Motors with the financial wherewithal to expand, that shuttered plant is soon going to reopen. And once again -- once again, it will be a symbol of promise, an example of what's possible here in America.
CONTRAST: The New York Times today on private investors' less optimistic feelings about investing their own money in Tesla Motors (despite all that government cheese):
Fresh from the holiday, shares of Tesla, the electric car maker, dropped 15 percent on Monday, after the lock-up period expired.

Tesla went public in June, at $17 a share. By late November, the stock had more than doubled to $35.47. Then shares in the company began to slide. With investors free to sell their I.P.O. stock on Monday, Tesla was trading at around $25.55.

Tesla has gotten a lot of buzz. The company’s first car, the Roadster, enticed the likes of the Google co-founder Larry Page and George Clooney to drop $100,000 in 2006 for the “wicked fast” vehicle. Three years later, the company unveiled the Model S, an all-electric car that the company is developing with Toyota. The hope is that the vehicle will be available in 2012 for less than $50,000.

But despite all the hype, Tesla has never been a financial hit. The Silicon Valley start-up, founded in 2003, has never turned a profit — and it is not expected to do so until 2012.

Concerns persist about the potential demand. Carter Driscoll, an analyst at Capstone Investments, recently wrote that he didn’t think the company would grow as quickly as the market anticipated, as consumers would be slow to adopt the new technology. He has a sell on the stock, with a price target of $22, roughly 14 percent below its current level.

“I just think that there were a lot more risks than there were positives at the price it was at,” he said.

But even Mr. Driscoll said he didn’t expect the price to drop so precipitously.
It's amazing that the President's politically-motivated feelings about investing my money in a super-neato future-car differ from those of professional investors risking their own money on an unproven product with flaccid demand.  But, hey, I'm sure a few dozen technocrats in Washington know better than the market and its vast number of participants and price signals.

Rrriiiiight.

Friday, December 24, 2010

Christmas Quick Hits

Things are about to get realllly slow in anticipation of the Big Guy's arrival on Saturday, so here's a cavalcade of reading material to tide you over:
  • Rep. Michelle Bachmann (R-MN) comes out swinging against the United States' embarrassing, anti-competitive corporate tax rate.
  • At literally the 11th hour, Congress extended trade benefits for Andean countries and US consumers of goods from those countries.  But by failing to extend the Generalized System of Preferences, Congress screwed over other developing countries and US consumers (who saved $577 million in 2009 due to the program).  Gee thanks, Sen. Sessions.   By the way, be sure to check out that USTR press release: Amb. Kirk talks about import benefits and tariff savings.  Nice!
  • Great essay by GMU's Don Boudreaux on tariffs, freedom and that age-old canard that protectionism propelled the US to glorious heights in the late 1800s. 
  • And, finally, a Christmas monkey message:

Merry Christmas, everyone.